Noir is a standout opportunity for Steam developers: 10.3% of releases reach a meaningful audience (about 1.7× the 6.0% Steam-wide average), across 155 games tracked since 2024.
| Year | Releases | Reached audience | Success rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 63 | 8 | 12.7% |
| 2025 | 53 | 6 | 11.3% |
| 2026 · in progress | 39 | 2 | 5.1% |
2026 is still in progress — it covers only part of the year, and recent releases haven't had time to reach the review threshold yet, so its release count and success rate both read artificially low. Across complete years (2024–2025) the settled rate is 12.1%.
Out of every 100 Noir games released on Steam, roughly 10 break out to a meaningful audience — compared with about 6 in 100 across Steam as a whole. Noir ranks #250 of 466 tags by release volume, which makes it relatively underserved. Across complete years (2024–2025), Noir's success rate settles at 12.1% — the in-progress 2026 reads lower only because its games are still new.
Unlike "top sellers" lists that only count winners, this is an honest base rate — every tracked Noir release is in the denominator, including the many that never found an audience. That's the number that actually tells you your odds going in.
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